Previous:

On Wednesday the 11th of October, trading on the euro/dollar pair closed up. In the European session, the euro appreciated to 1.1845. In the US session, buyers advanced further to 1.1869.

The single currency was boosted by a general weakening of the US dollar and a slide in US bond yields. The euro was also helped as tensions surrounding the Catalonian independence crisis slightly subsided. Catalan leader, Carles Puigdemont, has thus far held off on making an official declaration of independence. Spanish Prime Minister, Mariano Rajoy, has given the Catalan leader 5 days to clarify his position.

The FOMC minutes did nothing to help the dollar. Most members of the committee are worried about low inflation and feel that one more rate hike this year is justified. The Fed is currently expecting one more rate hike this year, and 3 next year.

Day’s news (GMT+3):

  • 11:30 UK: BoE credit conditions survey;
  • 12:00 Eurozone: industrial production (Aug);
  • 15:30 Canada: new housing price index (Aug);
  • 15:30 USA: PPI (Sep), PPI core (Sep), initial jobless claims (6 Oct);
  • 17:30 Eurozone: ECB president Draghi’s speech;
  • 17:30 USA: FOMC member Brainard’s speech, FOMC member Powell’s speech;
  • 18:00 USA: EIA crude oil stocks change (6 Oct);
  • 22:15 Canada: BoC deputy governor Wilkins’ speech.
  • Fig 1. EURUSD rate on the hourly.

    Source: TradingView

    My predictions concerning the euro’s strengthening yesterday came off in full. The euro/dollar pair reached the 1.1860 mark. Today, in Asia, that growth continued to 1.1878. Now the price continues to rise with momentum on its side.

    Now, I’d like to bring your attention to two upwards channels; C-C and D-D. Where do they differ from one another? The C-C channel is based on the trend line that runs from the low of 1.1699, while the D-D channel is formed from the tops of the upwards movement. They’ve turned out to have slightly different inclines.

    Print Friendly, PDF & Email