According to the BLS, the Consumer Price Index (CPI-U) year-over-year inflation rate was 2.2 % – returning to September’s level. The year-over-year core inflation (excludes energy and food) rate was declined marginally to 1.7 % from last month’s 1.8 %, and is below the target set by the Federal Reserve.
Analyst Opinion of the Consumer Price Index
Energy was the driver for the increase in inflation. Core inflation remain below 2.0 % year-over-year.
The market expected (from Bloomberg / Econoday):
z cpi1.png
As a generalization – inflation accelerates as the economy heats up, while inflation rate falling could be an indicator that the economy is cooling. However, inflation does not correlate well to the economy – and cannot be used as a economic indicator.
The major influence on the CPI was again energy prices.
The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 0.4 percent in November on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index rose 2.2 percent. The energy index rose 3.9 percent and accounted for about three-fourths of the all items increase. The gasoline index increased 7.3 percent, and the other energy component indexes also rose. The food index was unchanged in November, with the index for food at home declining slightly. The index for all items less food and energy increased 0.1 percent in November. The shelter index continued to rise, and the indexes for motor vehicle insurance, used cars and trucks, and new vehicles also increased. The indexes for apparel, airline fares, and household furnishings and operations all declined in November. The all items index rose 2.2 percent for the 12 months ending November. The index for all items less food and energy rose 1.7 percent, a slight decline from the 1.8-percent increase for the period ending October. The energy index rose 9.4 percent over the last 12 months, and the food index rose 1.4 percent.
Leave A Comment