CoreLogic’s Home Price Index (HPI) shows that home prices in the USA are up 6.8 % year-over-year (reported up 0.7 % month-over-month). CoreLogic HPI is used in the Federal Reserves’ Flow of Funds to calculate the values of residential real estate. The quote of the day was in this data release:

Analyst Opinion of CoreLogic’s HPI

CoreLogic year-over-year rate of growth has been steady for three years – with a higher number issued initially and later significantly downwardly revised in the following months. This months number will be reduced further in the coming months – and will end up near 6.0 % growth. According to CoreLogic:

…. revisions with public records data are standard, and to ensure accuracy, CoreLogic incorporates the newly released public data to provide updated results.

Note that CoreLogic forecasts:

Looking ahead, the CoreLogic HPI Forecast indicates that the national home-price index is projected to continue to increase by 5.1 percent on a year-over-year basis from June 2018 to June 2019.

Dr Frank Nothaft, chief economist for CoreLogic stated:

The rise in home prices and interest rates over the past year have eroded affordability and are beginning to slow existing home sales in some markets. For June, we found in CoreLogic public records data that home sales in the San Francisco Bay Area and Southern California were down 9 and 12 percent, respectively, from one year earlier. Further increases in home prices and mortgage rates over the next year will likely dampen sales and home-price growth.

Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic stated:

One-third of millennial renters reported feeling they cannot afford a down payment to buy a home. With home prices rising quickly over the past few years and supplies low, first-time homebuyers face ever-growing challenges to find and buy affordable entry-level homes. More needs to be done to help our first-time buyers join the homeownership class.