ECRI’s WLI Growth Index which forecasts economic growth six months forward now shows insignificant growth – up from insignificant negative growth. ECRI also released their coincident and lagging indicators this past week.

Analyst Opinion of the trends of the weekly leading indices

The current forecast is for no growth six months from today.

Here is this week’s update on ECRI’s Weekly Leading Index (note – a positive number indicates growth):

Weekly Leading Index Ticks Up

ECRI’s U.S. Weekly Leading Index (WLI) ticked up to 148.3 from 148.0, while WLI growth edged up to 0.2% from 0.0%. 

For more on the cyclical outlook, please see below for other forward-looking ECRI data shared publicly:

For a closer look at the WLI’s performance, please see the chart below: 

Click here to review ECRI’s recent track record.

For more information on ECRI professional services please contact us.

Coincident Index:

ECRI produces a monthly coincident index – a positive number shows economic expansion. The August index value (issued in September) shows the rate of economic growth marginally declined.

ECRI produces a monthly inflation index – a positive number shows increasing inflation pressure. Inflation pressures declined in August.

U.S. Future Inflation Gauge:

ECRI produces a monthly Lagging index. The August economy’s rate of growth (released in September) showed the rate of growth declined.

U.S. Lagging Index:

source: ECRI