The following stock valuation is about AT&T, one of the first stocks in my portfolio and probably a core holding in every dividend growth portfolio. AT&T has increased its dividend since 32 years and one of its strengths is the very high yield compared to other dividend stocks. At the same it always a very high payout ratio, which does not allow high growth. Recently AT&T is in the news with the Time Warner deal, which would increase the high level of debt further. But let’s have a look if AT&T is currently worthy of an investment.

Company Overview

AT&T (T) is a holding company that providers telecommunication services worldwide. The company offers several services including wireless communications, local exchange services and long-distance services. AT&T mainly sells services and physical products. It has increased its dividend since 1985.

Valuation

Currently, T is priced at 40.59 USD per share.

If I take the weighted average of the 4 ratios according to the 5-year average the price would be at 44.50 USD. That means the current price is 8.8% above its 5 year average. The 5 year high was at 43.47 USD a couple of weeks, so currently the stock just trades 6.6% below its 5-year high. The point that five year average price is above the five year high comes from the high Price/Earning ratio average. The reason for that high average was the year 2015 as it was at 38.2.

The fair market value ratio of the communication sector, according to Morningstar is currently at 0.96. If I divide the current price by it I will get a price of 42.28 USD.

Earnings per share growth

In 2011 the EPS were at 0.66 USD and EPS in 2016 were at 2.10USD. This makes it an average growth per year of 26.05%. But again 2011 EPS were not really that good, especially when looking at the payout ratio which was way above 100%.

Dividend History and Future

T has an impressive dividend history with increasing the dividend for 32 years in a row. In the last 5 years, the average growth per year is 2.21% based on a dividend of 1.73 USD in 2011 and a current full year one of 1.93 USD. The payout ratio with 91.9% is currently on a high level but based on the EPS expectation for 2017 and 2018 and a lower dividend growth I think the payout ratio will go back to a more reasonable level.