WTI and RBOB prices are higher this morning following API’s reported the biggest gasoline draw in history (compared to EIA data). Of course, disruptions (Florida demand and Texas supply) remain dominant but DOE reports a massive 8.4mm draw in Gasoline inventories – the biggest draw ever. The reaction in prices is anti-climactic as production rebounded and crude built dramatically to offset the exuberance.

Bloomberg’s Javier Blas reminds readers that the report covers the period from 7:01 am on Friday, Sept. 1 to 7:00 am on Friday, Sept. 8. So a lot of disruption from Harvey (particularly from Sept. 1, 2, and 3) will still impact everything from refining intake to crude production and U.S. imports and exports.

API

  • Crude +6.181mm (+4.82mm exp)
  • Cushing +1.32mm (+1.6mm exp)
  • Gasoline -7.896mm (-1.5mm exp) – biggest draw ever
  • Distillates-1.805mm
  • DOE

  • Crude +5.888mm (+4.82mm exp) – biggest build in 6 mos
  • Cushing +1.023mm (+1.6mm exp- biggest build in 6 mos
  • Gasoline -8.428mm (-1.5mm exp) – biggest draw ever
  • Distillates -3.215mm – biggest draw in 6 mos
  • Bloomberg Intelligence energy analyst Vince Piazza notes that the impact from hurricane season will keep crude demand subdued, with roughly two million barrels of daily refining capacity off-line. Depressed gasoline consumption should persist temporarily on lower transportation use and suppressed refining utilization.

    Gasoline inventories confirmed API’s data and saw the biggest draw in history as Crude and Cushing saw major builds…

    The bearish data point is that total U.S. petroleum inventories (that’s crude, refined products, propane and the volatile “other oils” category) have built for the second consecutive week.

    Total stocks up 1.7 million barrels, driven by big builds in crude, propane and other oils.

    US Distillate exports fell to their lowest levels since 2010.

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