Much of the early Asian talk surrounded fears we would see a continuation of last weeks weakness, but from external rather than internally led. Despite the fact that Chinese indices are off 25% YTD, the weakness seen in Europe and
October 29, 2018
With the stock market correction, it is natural to assume that the economy is degrading. And there are several pundits throwing around forecasts of a recession. But our Econintersect Economic Index (EEI) moderately improved and still remains well into territory associated with
Fear before Halloween is understandable, especially with October seeing one of the wildest stock market gyrations. But the road is possibly not as thorny as it is right now. Though rising rate concerns and U.S.-Sino trade tensions will keep playing
Stocks went on a wild ride today with incredible volatility. Selling was relentless until an impressive rally in the last 15 minutes of the day left everyone wondering if we just saw capitulation. If you’re wondering the same thing then
The S&P 500 is poised to match the February decline (January 26th to February 9th) by points (342) and by percentage (-11.91%), also the largest pullback since the bull campaign started over 10 years ago. After Monday’s close, the S&P
I have tried in both creative and straightforward ways to discuss with you how vulnerable the overall market is. In the same way, I have tried to discuss how much opportunity lies ahead in commodities. In today’s market activity, we
Neutron bombs kill broad swaths of a human being without inflicting serious collateral explosive damage on physical infrastructure and systems. Fed monetary policy and GOP fiscal policy are like economic neutron bombs. The early ‘risk on’ trade and big acquisition
Recent equity market volatility has raised the question about the health of the current economic expansion. I must confess it is difficult to find too much in the way of negative news. What is important about this is the fact
Earnings Revisions – Predicted Stocks Would Fall Earnings Scout chart on earnings estimate revisions versus the S&P 500 did a great job of forecasting the volatility in October. I always put various economic and stock market-related research into my articles.
“Davidson” submits: Real GDP rises with increase in Govt Exp&Inv, but Real Private GDP not perceptibly changed. The Real Private GDP has been ~3% March 2009-July 2018. Real Private GDP is the true measure of economic activity and Govt Exp&Inv
