Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

       

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

 

Week of November 6

       

November 7

       

NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index – October

105.0

103.0

105.0

 

JOLTS – September

6.082K

6.082

6.082

 

Consumer Credit – September

$17.1B

13.1

17.4

           

November 9

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

230K

229

232

           

Wholesale Inventories – September

0.3%

0.3

0.3

 

Wholesale Sales

                 

November 10

       

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (p)

100.7

100.7

100.0

 

Treasury Budget – October

-$48.0B

8.0

-58.1

           

Week of November 13

       

November 14

       

Producer Price Index – October

0.2%

0.4

   

PPI less food, energy and trade services

0.2

0.2

             

November 15

       

Consumer Price Index – October

0.2%

0.5

   

Core CPI

0.2

0.1

             

Retail Sales – October

0.1%

1.6

   

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.4

1.0

             

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

26.0

30.2

   

Business Inventories – August

0.0%

0.7

             

November 16

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

       

Philadelphia Fed Survey

23.0

27.9

             

Export Prices – October

0.6%

0.8

   

Import Prices

0.5

0.7

             

Industrial Production – October

0.5%

0.3

   

Capacity Utilization

76.4

76.0

   

Manufacturing

0.2

0.1

             

NAHB Index

68

68

             

November 17

       

Housing Starts – October

1.155

1.127M

   

Building Permits

1.245

1.215

             

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

23

23