Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

       

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

 

Week of October 16

       

October 16

       

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

20.0

24.4

20.0

 

Treasury Budget – September

$4.0B

-107.7

3.0

           

October 17

       

Export Prices – September

0.5%

0.6

0.5

 

Import Prices

0.7

0.6

0.4

 

Import Prices, ex-Energy

0.2

0.2

             

Industrial Production – August

0.3%

-0.9

0.1

 

Capacity Utilization

76.3

76.1

76.2

 

Manufacturing

0.3

-0.3

0.3

           

NAHB Index

66

64

64

           

October 18

       

Housing Starts – September

1.190M

1.180

1.170

 

Building Permits

1.260

1.300

.1230

           

October 19

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

243K

243

240

 

Philadelphia Fed Survey

20.0

23.8

20.2

 

Leading Indicators

0.1%

0.4

0.1

           

October 20

       

Existing Home Sales – September

5.380M

5.350

5.300

           

Week of October 23

       

October 23

       

Chicago Fed National Activity Index

-0.10%

-0.31

             

October 24

       

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index

53

53.1

   

PMI Services Flash Index

55.1

55.3

   

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

15

19

             

October 25

       

Durable Goods Sales – September

0.5%

2.0

   

FHFA House Price Index – August

0.3

0.2

   

New Home Sales – September

550K

560

             

October 26

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

       

International Trade in Goods

-$63.9B

-62.9

   

Pending Home Sale Index – September

107.7

106.3

   

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

 

17

             

October 27

       

GDP – Q3 (a)

2.6%

3.1

   

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – October (r)

101.1

101.1