The Aug. 10 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows year-over-year inflation rose 8.5% in July and while this figure is below economists’ expectations of 8.7%, it is still high. Although inflation remains much higher than the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, the marginal slowdown raises hopes that the rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have started to work. That has reduced the probability of a 75 basis point rate hike in the September meeting from 68% on Aug. 9 to 37.5% according to CME group data.
Risky assets, including the cryptocurrency markets, responded positively to the CPI print. Compared to Bitcoin (BTC), the altcoins are enjoying a stronger rally. This has pulled Bitcoin’s dominance near its yearly lows while Ether (ETH) has climbed near its yearly high.
Could Bitcoin and altcoins sustain the higher levels? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
BTC/USDT
Bitcoin turned down from $24,245 on Aug. 8 and dropped to the 20-day exponential moving average ($22,966) on Aug. 9. The bulls aggressively purchased the dip on Aug. 10 and are attempting to push the price above the overhead resistance at $24,668.
Conversely, if the price turns down from $24,668, the bears will again attempt to sink the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the pair could decline to the 50-day simple moving average ($21,708). A break below this level could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
ETH/USDT
Ether turned down from $1,818 on Aug. 8 but the bears could not sink the price below the 20-day EMA ($1,637). This suggests strong demand at lower levels.
This bullish view will be invalidated if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. If that happens, the pair may drop toward the 50-day SMA ($1,388). That could delay the start of the next leg of the up-move.
BNB/USDT
Binance Coin (BNB) turned down from the overhead resistance zone of $338 to $350 on Aug. 8 but the bears could not sustain the lower levels on Aug. 10. This suggests that bulls are aggressively buying the dips.
If the price turns down from the overhead zone, the first support is at $308. The bears will have to sink the price below this level to challenge the 20-day EMA ($296). This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break and close below it could sink the pair to $275.
XRP/USDT
The bulls failed to push XRP above the overhead resistance at $0.39 on Aug. 8. This attracted sharp selling by the bears who pulled the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.37) on Aug. 9.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance and breaks below the 50-day SMA ($0.35), it will suggest that the pair may remain range-bound between $0.30 and $0.39 for a few more days.
ADA/USDT
Cardano (ADA) turned down from the overhead resistance at $0.55 on Aug. 8 and dropped to the 20-day EMA ($0.51) on Aug. 9, indicating that bears continue to defend the overhead resistance aggressively.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price once again turns down from $0.55, the likelihood of a break below the 20-day EMA increases. If that happens, the pair could remain range-bound between $0.45 and $0.55 for a few more days.
SOL/USDT
The bulls tried to push Solana (SOL) to the overhead resistance at $48 on Aug. 8 but the bears had other plans. They stalled the recovery attempt at $44 and pulled the price back below the 20-day EMA ($40) on Aug. 9.
A break above this level will complete a bullish ascending triangle pattern, opening the doors for a possible rally to $60 and then to the pattern target at $71.
Conversely, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the support line, the advantage could tilt in favor of the bears. The pair could then drop to $32.
DOGE/USDT
The long wick on Dogecoin’s (DOGE) Aug. 9 candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively defending the overhead resistance at $0.08. The sellers are attempting to build upon their advantage by pulling the price below the moving averages.
Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level, it will suggest that bulls continue to buy on dips. The bulls will then make one more attempt to push the pair above the overhead resistance and start a new up-move. If they succeed, the pair could rally to $0.10.
Related: TORN price sinks 45% after U.S. Treasury sanctions Tornado Cash — Rebound ahead?
DOT/USDT
Polkadot (DOT) broke and closed above the overhead resistance at $9 on Aug. 8 but the bulls could not build upon this strength. The bears sold aggressively and pulled the price back below $9 on Aug. 9.
To invalidate this view, the bears will have to pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. Such a move will suggest that higher levels continue to attract strong selling by the bears. That could result in a range-bound action for a few days.
MATIC/USDT
The bulls have successfully sustained Polygon (MATIC) above the 20-day EMA ($0.87) but have failed to challenge the overhead resistance at $1.02. This suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the pair may oscillate between $0.75 and $1.02 for some more time.
AVAX/USDT
The long wick on Avalanche’s (AVAX) Aug. 8 candlestick shows that bears have not given up and they continue to sell on rallies. The price slipped back to the breakout level on Aug. 9 but the bulls successfully defended the level on Aug. 10.
The key level to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA ($24.88). If bears sink the price below this support, it will suggest that the breakout above $26.38 may have been a bull trap. The pair could then decline to the support line.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
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