It’s the end of a week chock-full of notable events and like all such weeks, everyone is glad it’s over.

“Mueller Monday” certainly didn’t disappoint and neither did the BoE, which “succeeded” in delivering a rate hike so dovish that 5-year gilt yields actually fell the most since the bank cut rates in the aftermath of Brexit.

As far as things that were expected to disappoint or were otherwise seen ahead of time as being unlikely to cause much of a stir (despite the necessity of parsing them endlessly for some semblance of meaning), we checked all those boxes too. The tax plan was a dud and no one believes it has any chance of passing in its current form. The Fed meeting brought nothing new and the message is still “see you next month” (which is amusing because the December meeting will come just days after fiscal D-Day on the Hill). The Jerome Powell pick was leaked/confirmed ahead of Trump’s official unveiling. And finally, the jobs number missed bigly as did AHE, but we were free to ignore it and instead cherry pick ISM thanks to lingering hurricane “noise”.

Of course the Manafort/Gates indictment and the Papadopoulos bombshell put the U.S. one step closer to a constitutional crisis as conservative media outlets and some Republicans are scrambling around to figure out how to put the brakes on the special counsel’s investigation. That could embolden Trump to dismiss Mueller, a move that would almost surely accelerate the end of his presidency. Apparently unwilling to risk that just yet, Trump instead took to Twitter on Friday to try and strong arm the Justice Department into opening investigations into his political opponents. That’s not generally something one finds in a developed democracy. We’ll have more on that later.

As far as markets go, the dollar and yields knee-jerked lower on payrolls, bounced on the ISM beat, and then meandered around:

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