Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

       

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

 

Week of November 13

       

November 13

       

Treasury Budget – October

-$60.0B

8.0

-58.1

           

November 14

       

Producer Price Index – October

0.1%

0.4

0.1

 

PPI less food, energy and trade services

0.2

0.2

             

November 15

       

Consumer Price Index – October

0.2%

0.5

0.1

 

Core CPI

0.2

0.1

0.2

           

Retail Sales – October

0.1%

1.6

0.1

 

Retail Sales, ex Autos

0.4

1.0

0.2

 

Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas

0.5

0.5

   

Retail Sales, Autos

                 

NY Fed Manufacturing Index

26.0

30.2

26.3

 

Business Inventories – August

0.1%

0.7

0.2

           

November 16

       

Initial Unemployment Claims

233K

239

234

 

Philadelphia Fed Survey

23.0

27.9

24.0

           

Export Prices – October

0.5%

0.8

0.5

 

Import Prices

0.6

0.7

0.6

           

Industrial Production – October

0.5%

0.3

0.5

 

Capacity Utilization

76.4

76.0

76.3

 

Manufacturing

0.2

0.1

0.2

           

NAHB Index

69

68

68

           

November 17

       

Housing Starts – October

1.170M

1.127M

1.180

 

Building Permits

1.240

1.215

1.24

           

Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index

23

23

             

Week of November 20

       

November 20

       

Leading Indicators

0.3%

-0.1

0.3

           

November 21

       

Chicago Fed National Activity Index – October

0.20

0.17

   

Existing Home Sales – October

5.410M

5.390

5.400

           

November 22

       

Durable Goods Sales – October

0.7%

2.0

0.8

           

Initial Unemployment Claims

       

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index – Nov (r)

97.8

97.8

             

November 23

       

Thanksgivng