Following the latest set of global economic news, most notably a mediocre set of Chinese Official and Caixin PMIs, coupled with a mix of lackluster European manufacturing reports and an abysmal Japanese PMI, European, Asian stocks and U.S. stock index futures have continued yesterday’s losses. Oil slips for 4th day, heading for the longest run of declines since April, as OPEC ministers gather in Vienna ahead of a meeting on Thursday to discuss production policy. The biggest winner was the Yen, rising 1%, with the USDJPY tumbling overnight and pushing both the Nikkei 1.6% lower and weighing on US futures, when Abe’s official confirmation of a 2.5 year delay in Japan’s sales tax appears to have backfired once again, and led to a rush to safety reaction.

The Stoxx Europe 600 Index declined to a one-week low, with 18 out of 19 Stoxx 600 sectors falling; the MSCI Asia Pacific Index halted a five-day winning streak and copper fell by the most in three weeks. S&P500 futures declined 0.3%. The yen strengthened the most in a month as Japan delayed a planned sales-tax hike, as a result Japan’s Topix index slid 1.3 percent even as Softbank Group Corp. climbed to its highest in more than a month in Tokyo after announcing plans to sell at least $7.9 billion of its stake in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. India’s rupee dropped after a local-language newspaper reported that central bank Governor Raghuram Rajan doesn’t want an extension of his term. Crude oil slipped toward $48 a barrel before an OPEC meeting on Thursday. The pound weakened for a second day on speculation a vote for Brexit is becoming more likely.

Summarizing the slew of overnight economic and PMI data:

  • Caixin China May Manufacturing PMI 49.2, Matching Estimate
  • Nikkei Japan May Manufacturing PMI 47.7 vs 48.2 in April
  • Nikkei India May Manufacturing PMI 50.7 vs 50.5 in April
  • Spain May Manufacturing PMI 51.8 vs 53.5 in April; Est. 52.5
  • Swiss May Manufacturing PMI Rises to 55.8; Est. 54.0
  • Italy May Manufacturing PMI 52.4 vs 53.9 in April; Est. 53
  • France May Manufacturing PMI 48.4 vs Flash Reading 48.3
  • Germany May Manufacturing PMI 52.1 vs Flash Reading 52.4
  • Eurozone May Manufacturing PMI 51.5 vs Flash Reading 51.5
  • U.K. May Manufacturing PMI 50.1 vs 49.4 in April; Est. 49.6
  • Swiss GDP Expands 0.1% Q/q in 1Q; Est. Expands 0.3% Q/q
  • South Korea’s May Exports Fall 6% Y/y; Est. -0.4%
  • Indonesia May Consumer Prices Rise 0.24% M/m; Est. +0.20%
  • As noted last night, China’s purchasing managers’ indexes for May added to evidence that growth remains subdued after the economy expanded last year at the slowest pace in more than two decades. Similar manufacturing gauges for the euro area and U.K. pointed to mediocre expansion, while a gauge for the U.S. is also due Wednesday. Polls showing an increased risk that the U.K. will vote to leave the European Union in a June referendum are also making investors wary.

    In light of the poor global PMI data, concerns about global growth have returned: “In normal global cycles, global trade would be running at around double global GDP, but post the GFC (Great Financial Crisis), global trade has been running only half of the rate of previous cycles. It would seem that trade is caught in a vicious cycle of ever rising inventories, falling industrial production and declining global trade volumes,” Jefferies equity strategists including Sean Darby and Kenneth Chan wrote in a note.

    “The recovery in Europe is not accelerating and we have a very, very heavy week for data and events still ahead of us, so you can forgive people for a wait-and-see mood,” said William Hobbs, head of Europe, Middle East and Africa investment strategy at the wealth-management unit of Barclays Plc in London. “Markets are trapped a little bit, people are worried about geopolitics and the British referendum. This is keeping investors on the sidelines in case the worst-case scenario comes through.”

    Market Snapshot:

  • S&P 500 futures down 0.3% to 2089
  • Stoxx 600 down 0.7% to 345
  • FTSE 100 down 0.5% to 6197
  • DAX down 0.4% to 10218
  • German 10Yr yield down 1bp to 0.13%
  • Italian 10Yr yield up 3bps to 1.38%
  • Spanish 10Yr yield up 3bps to 1.5%
  • S&P GSCI Index down 1.1% to 366.9
  • MSCI Asia Pacific down 0.2% to 129
  • Nikkei 225 down 1.6% to 16956
  • Hang Seng down 0.3% to 20761
  • Shanghai Composite down 0.1% to 2914
  • S&P/ASX 200 down 1% to 5323
  • US 10-yr yield down 1bp to 1.83%
  • Dollar Index down 0.3% to 95.6
  • WTI Crude futures down 1.4% to $48.42
  • Brent Futures down 1.7% to $49.06
  • Gold spot up less than 0.1% to $1,216
  • Silver spot down less than 0.1% to $15.98
  • Global Headline News Wrap

  • SoftBank Plans to Sell at Least $7.9 Billion of Alibaba Stake: Japanese company is seeking to boost cash, pay down debt
  • Euro-Area Manufacturing Near Stagnation Signals Slowdown Ahead: manufacturing in 19-nation euro area barely grew in May
  • OECD Blasts Governments as World Slips Into ‘Low-Growth Trap:’ distortions from ultra-loose monetary policy are growing; global economy will fail to accelerate this year
  • Staples CEO to Step Down Following Failed Office Depot Merger: North American President Goodman to take interim CEO job
  • China’s Xiaomi Buys Microsoft Patents to Spur Global Forays: patents cover wireless communications, video and cloud
  • MGM Resorts Buys Borgata Stake From Boyd Gaming for $900m: gains full ownership of Atlantic City’s top-performing casino
  • Shari Redstone Says Viacom Shareholders Want New Management: says she isn’t seeking to manage company or become chairman
  • Valvoline Files for IPO as Parent Shifts Focus to Chemicals: share sale of oil-change retailer targeted for 4Q; parent co. to rename itself Ashland Global Holdings Inc.
  • Adelson Settles Six-Year Feud With Fired Sands China Chief: confidential accord averts Las Vegas trial on 2010 lawsuit
  • Las Vegas Sands to Pay $75m-$100m to Settle Jacobs Case: WSJ
  • May U.S. Auto Sales Seen Little Changed; Annual Pace in Focus: preview
  • Musk Says It’s ‘Obvious’ Model 3 Owners to Pay for Superchargers: to likely charge owners of forthcoming Model 3 sedan to use co.’s network of Supercharging stations
  • Einhorn’s Main Greenlight Capital Hedge Fund Loses 1.9% in May: lost 1.9% in main hedge fund in May even as stocks climbed
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