The Fed’s meeting minutes from the September meeting came out slightly more dovish than expected. Nevertheless, the FOMC remains on track to raise rates in December. This is the verdict according to the three opinions below:

Here is their view, courtesy of eFXnews:

USD: FOMC Minutes Didn’t Add Much To Dec Hike Call – CIBC

CIBC Research comments on today’s FOMC minutes from the September meeting:

The Fed minutes couldn’t really add that much to the rate outlook, since we already have a “dot” forecast that shows that all but four FOMC members expect to hike before year end.

At that time, the Fed hadn’t seen much signs of a pick-up in wages, but “most” were expecting them ahead, so the recent upward revision to August wage inflation data (and the storm-affected further climb in September) wouldn’t have been much of a surprise.

Finally, remember that the composition of the FOMC will be changing in the quarters ahead, so today’s minutes might not reflect the views of the Fed’s composition a few quarters from now,” CIBC argues.

USD: FOMC Minutes: Slightly Dovish But Not Enough To Change Outlook – SEB

SEB Research comments on today’s FOMC minutes from the September meeting:

Our assessment of the minutes is that the message was slightly dovish but not enough to change our outlook for US monetary policy.

We know from the rate projections published along with the statement that 12 out of 16 meeting participants see at least one more hike in 2017. Since the September meeting, Fed communication has been hawkish although there has been a vocal dovish minority. In addition to the Fed’s communication and forecasts, as we argued recently in a Central Bank Insight the Fed is also set to become more hawkish in 2018.

We continue to expect that the Fed will deliver another rate hike in December and stick to our view that there will be three additional rate hikes in 2018,” SEB argues.

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