First, a review of last week’s events:
EUR/USD. Most analysts (60%), supported by graphical analysis and indicators, expected the pair to fall to the 1.1120-1.1300 zone. And indeed, the pair reached the level of 1.1300 on Wednesday August 15, but did not go lower, turned around and returned to zone 1.1400 by the end of the week. Analysts call the stabilization of the situation with the Turkish lira as one of the main reasons for the trend change, although they do not rule out that the lull is temporary, and soon the storm will come again;
GBP/USD. 45% of experts, supported by 20% of the oscillators, who signaled that this pair is oversold, were expecting a correction, which occurred earlier this week: on Tuesday the pair rose to the level of 1.2825. However, the main forecast was that the downward trend will continue. Problems with Brexit have not gone away, so most analysts agreed that the pair would reach the zone 1.2675-1.2720 in its fall last week. Taking into account the standard backlash, this forecast also proved to be absolutely correct: the pair found the local bottom at 1.2660, and completed the five-day session at the mark 1.2745;
USD/JPY. The expansion of the trade war between the United States and China continues to play into the hands of the Japanese yen as a safe haven. There was a hint for breakdown of the lower boundary of the medium-term rising channel of the pair in the first half of August, which began at the end of March this year. At that time, it was still too early to consider this as a real breakthrough, but almost 70% of the experts voted that the strengthening of the yen would continue, and the pair would drop at least to the horizon 110.30. This forecast was accurate as well: the minimum value of the week was fixed at 110.10, and the final chord sounded in the zone of 110.50;
Cryptocurrencies. News from the bitcoin battlefields can be considered positive: the pair BTC/USD could not break the level of 5.760 and, as we predicted, it stayed in the corridor of $5.760-6.800. And this was despite a powerful correction, as a result of which the crypto market capitalization dropped to $189 billion at the beginning of the week. The main reason for this BTC “stability” is that mining becomes almost unprofitable below the $6,000-6,100 zone, and most miners are working on the recoupment verge right now. That is why the level of 5.760 is the support that the pair could not overcome from the very beginning of its fall on December 17, 2017.
Litecoin (LTH), ripple (XRP) and many other top coins have regained their positions after a fall in the middle of the week. The second largest crypto-currency, Ethereum (ETH), has gone up, but it is much more difficult to do it for Ethereum than for its “colleagues”. Its own popularity played against the Ethereum. According to the Invest in Blockchain study, 60 of the 100 largest crypto-currencies are not based on a working product, not mentioning smaller tokens. And, recall, most ICOs were held basing on ETH, and now few successful projects are rushing to cash their Ethereum, fearing further decline of the market.
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