Which of these best defines your thinking during periods when it seems failure is the likely option?

  • If at first you don’t succeed … cut bait and scram.
  • The race doesn’t always go to the swiftest of foot but the surest of step.
  • Your answer will define how you react to my recommendation that you use today’s low gold prices as a buying opportunity.

    Those who see gold as a faded commodity investment with little future have already cut bait … and probably stopped reading at the end of the last paragraph.

    Those who see the world as a particularly dicey joint reflexively understand what I’m talking about and are already buying gold. You can stop reading; you’re already on the winning team.

    Instead, today’s dispatch is for the fence-sitters weighing whether to own gold in preparation for what’s to come … or whether to disregard the metal as nothing more than fodder for those crazy gold bugs to gnaw on. It’s a confusing world out there. Some say gold is going to $700 (and they might be right, temporarily), and others say gold will shoot to $10,000 (and they might be right, temporarily).

    I’m in the middle. And when I tell you why, I hope you see the wisdom of why you should join me there, too.

    Before we begin, a small but relevant preamble to explain who else is sitting in the audience today.

    Seems lots of Americans are worrying a blue streak, even though we’re told by the media that “all is copacetic” in the land of milk and honey — unless, of course, you’re lactose intolerant and a diabetic.

    Through the first half of the year, the metals department for a $24 billion U.S. bank was a net seller of gold, as everyday investors reduced their gold holdings. But since mid-June, sales of allocated gold (physical gold the bank holds in your name) is up 142%. Unallocated gold (physical gold held in a pool rather than in your name) is up 154%.

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