Indian share markets began the trading week on a weak note amid mixed global markets. At the closing bell, the BSE Sensex stood lower by 231 points (down 0.9%), while the NSE Nifty finished down by 91 points (down 1.1%). Meanwhile, the S&P BSE Mid Cap & the S&P BSE Small Cap finished down by 1.1% and 0.7% respectively. Losses were largely seen in auto sector and banking sector.

Asian markets finished in the red as of the most recent closing prices. The Hang Seng and the Shanghai Composite were down by 1.4% and 2.5%, respectively. European markets edged lower in early trade with the CAC 40 down by 0.11%, Germany’s DAXis off 0.35% and London’s FTSE 100 is lower by 0.16%.

The rupee was trading at 67.46 against the US$ in the afternoon session.

The index of industrial production (IIP) slipped 1.9% in October. This was recorded as against a 0.7% rise in September and up 9.9% YoY in the same month last year. The historical trend can be seen in the chart below:

Factory Output Deteriorates, More Pain Ahead

 

The disappointing numbers were due to decline in manufacturing sector (down 2.4% YoY), mining (down 1.1% YoY) and capital goods sector (down 25.9% YoY).

Mind you, these disappointing numbers are pre-demonetisation. So with the effect of demonetisation factored in, there could be more pain in the store for the business activity in India.

As Richa wrote in a recent edition of The 5 Minute WrapUp

  • Now, with the overall sentiments being low across all the sectors due to the demonetisation drive, the business activity in India is expected to slow down for next few months. The major contributors to the industrial output like capital goods and manufacturing are expected to face major hiccups. With these numbers bleeding, we expect to see an extended adverse impact on the India’s job market as well.
  • The slowdown in business activity would also have an adverse impact on the India’s job market as well. As Tanushree wrote an interesting follow up on the destruction of jobs due to demonetisation:

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