:54

The rate cut wasn’t on the table yesterday as economic data in Canada has improved. The slightly hawkish stance of BOC’s chief Poloc reflected on the USD/CAD, sending the dollar down straight to W L5 support. At this point, we see an ABCD pattern at D L3 support, so the break of 1.3250 could spur a correction towards 1.3300 where we see a bearish POC (ATR top, EMA89, bearish order block, W L4) within 1.3300-1.3320. Rejections from POC target 1.3220 and 1.3190.

Keep in mind that if 1.3250 is not broken to the upside, we might see a straight drop below 1.3218 for 1.3190 and 1.3145 final D L5 target.